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Cash Flow and Reorder Deposit Runway Simulator ​

A dynamic risk-control interactive tool built on the 07.07 Single-SKU Working Capital Turnover & Cash-Flow Forecasting Model for Runway Protection.

🛡️ Cash-Flow & Reorder-Deposit Redline Simulator

Strictly enforce rule 07.07: after deducting 3 months of fixed OPEX, deposit spend must never exceed 40% of remaining funds (absolute 60% circuit breaker).

📝 Funding & Inventory Parameters

📊 Stress Test & Risk Decision

3-month fixed-OPEX safety cushion
$60,000
Cash available after OPEX
$90,000
Deposit outflow for this reorder (30%)
$36,000
Deposit as % of free cash (after OPEX)
40.0%
🟢 Safe & compliant: deposit ≤40% of free cash, ample safety cushion!
Cash left in account after the deposit
$114,000
✓ Safe: account balance still covers more than 3 months of OPEX

🕒 07.07 First-Batch Cash Timeline & CCC

Recomputes the 07.07 base case: 30% deposit → 70% balance → ocean freight → pre-launch marketing → two platform payouts; plus CCC = DIO + DSO − DPO.

CCC & Batch Parameters

Cash conversion cycle CCC = DIO + DSO − DPO
90 days
🟢 Healthy: CCC ≤90 days, cash cycle under control

Base first batch(1000 units)

MilestoneActionInflowOutflowCumulative
T-90DIssue PO · pay 30% deposit—−$36,000−$36,000
T-60DGoods ex-works · pay 70% balance—−$84,000−$120,000
T-55DOcean booking · customs & insurance—−$17,000−$137,000
T-15DFBA inbound · pre-launch marketing—−$15,000−$152,000
T+45DFirst platform settlement+$140,000—−$12,000
T+60DSecond platform settlement+$140,000—+$128,000
Supply-chain funding peak
−$137,000
Total exposure incl. marketing
−$152,000
Note: this table is on a cash-flow basis and is not directly comparable to the 07.06 P&L basis.

huajun.wang Smart Hardware GTM Playbook · Methodology